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A collection of data, charts and insights providing a succinct snapshot of the Sydney office leasing market.
as at Jul-24
12 months to Jul-24
A Grade net effective, 12 months to Jun-24
Indicative range, as at Jun-24
The arrows indicate the direction of Cadigal’s expected change over the next 12 months.
The overall vacancy rate in the Sydney CBD currently sits at 11.6%, having eased down from 12.2%, which was the market’s highest rate in 28 years.
The modest fall over H1 2024 follows nine consecutive rises, beginning in H2 2019.
The combined movement in face rents and incentives has resulted in effective rental growth of -3.3% to 8.1% for the year to Jun-24.
Similar to face rents, relative performance in effective rents across building grades saw Premium outperforming and B Grade showing a decline.
Tenant demand in the Sydney CBD remains weak, with -4,630sqm of net absorption recorded over H1 2024, the fourth consecutive negative result.
Whilst still negative, the latest result is an improvement on both the -64,628sqm recorded over H2 2023 and the -40,173sqm in the prior period (H1 2023).
No major office projects were completed over 2023 or the first half of 2024, with the last completion being the Poly Centre (210 George Street) in Q4 2022.
The quantum of active tenant enquiry for the Sydney CBD fell substantially over Q2 2024, dropping 28% to 233,150sqm as at Jun-24.
Prior to the latest fall, total enquiry had recovered to about the long-term average over the previous three quarters.
A breakdown of total enquiry by tenant industry reveals three sectors, Financial Services, Information Media & Telecommunications and Public Administration & Safety together comprise more than half of the total.
North Sydney, as at Jul-24
North Shore, 12 months to Jul-24
North Sydney A Grade net effective, 12 months to Jul-24
North Shore indicative range, as at Jun-24
The arrows indicate the direction of Cadigal’s expected change over the next 12 months.
The vacancy rate in North Sydney fell from a record high of 24.2% to 23.5% over H1 2024.
The drop was partially offset by rises in both Crows Nest/St Leonards (26.3% to 26.5%) and Chatswood (18.8% to 20.6%).
Effective rental growth across the North Shore has been mixed, with 12-month growth ranging from -15.1% to +7.7%.
North Sydney outperformed Crows Nest / St Leonards and Chatswood, whilst A Grade effective rents grew more than both Premium and B Grade.
Positive net absorption of 2,873sqm was recorded in the North Shore over the 6 months to Jul-24, the first positive result in three and a half years (since H2 2020).
The market had endured four consecutive years of negative net absorption over 2020-2023, totalling -113,698sqm.
There were no major supply additions or withdrawals across the North Shore, over the first half of 2024.
Victoria Cross Tower in North Sydney remains on-track for Q2 2025 completion, with no further significant supply expected until at least 2028.
The quantum of active tenant enquiry across the North Shore fell 8% to 171,945sqm over the first half of 2024, but still remains above the average of the last seven years.
Breaking down the current North Shore enquiry by industry sector reveals Information Media and Telecommunications (IMT) as the most dominant, accounting for almost a third of the 171,945sqm total.
Only two other industries, Manufacturing and Financial Services account for more than 10% of the total.